ai and us

How long before AI can set up a set of cantilever brakes?
That would be machine AI. Which is fairly well developed even now. Think about AI in your bread maker and your toothbrush. It's quite basic robotics, but add an intelligent AI Agent to the mix and it will simply watch someone (or even a video) of someone doing it a couple of hundred times and thats it, job gone. Successive generations of AI Agents will soon be able to do ANY job better than ANY human. That's likely a decade away, but it could be even sooner. Should we be doing something to slow it down right now. I would think so 😬
 
The jobs and workforce that should be really concerned are anyone whose job involves the use of a computer. They're gonna get hit hard and fast, and soon.
 
My canti brake question was tongue in cheek :)

As to whether we should stop or slow down AI the clear answer is yes but it seems unlikely that will happen since the few big players involved are in a race where the winner takes all, so they have to keep going at full speed ahead.
The UK can clearly do nothing; there is no appetite for any sort of regulation in the US right now and for the next few years. Even if the US stopped all AI development tomorrow the Chinese will still go ahead so the US will keep going to win the race.

The hest commentry I have heard on the whole situation is from Nobel prize winner Geoffrey Hinton .
 
My canti brake question was tongue in cheek :)

As to whether we should stop or slow down AI the clear answer is yes but it seems unlikely that will happen since the few big players involved are in a race where the winner takes all, so they have to keep going at full speed ahead.
The UK can clearly do nothing; there is no appetite for any sort of regulation in the US right now and for the next few years. Even if the US stopped all AI development tomorrow the Chinese will still go ahead so the US will keep going to win the race.

The hest commentry I have heard on the whole situation is from Nobel prize winner Geoffrey Hinton .
Yes absolutely. It's like the race for the A Bomb, every nation is throwing all they've got at it to get AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) first. AGI for the uninitiated is the point where a machine (an Agent) can perform tasks and computational actions faster or better than a human being can. At this point every job performed by a human being that involves the use of a computer (programming, stock taking, retail, medical, etc etc) will be under intense threat from an AGI that will do the same job, perhaps better, for a tenth of the cost of a human being.

Whether governments, under intense political pressures, probably from social unrest and violence will slow it down is debatable. It's a race as fundamental and as powerful as the first country to develop an atomic weapon, and some would argue, more potent and threatening for the well being of humanity.
 
A solid reading and big refute of the video posted earlier that visualises the AI 2027 is Gary Marcus’s analysis of it: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/the-ai-2027-scenario-how-realistic
I think it should be viewed as a warning. The authors of AI 27 do point out at the very beginning as does the video it's just a 'scenario'. Anything that wakes people up to the very clear danger inherent in giving over control of life dependent systems to AI which would have previously been monitored by humans is to the good.
 
I dumped this pic into Chat GPT…

View attachment 1000889

And was delighted to find out that it is infact a Zaskar….

“Yes — that’s a GT Zaskar frame.

A few details that give it away:
  • The triple-triangle design (with the seat stays joining the top tube before the seat tube) is GT’s signature feature, and the Zaskar is one of their most iconic models.
  • The polished aluminum finish with the GT decals in that style was used on Zaskars in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
  • The welds around the head tube and bottom bracket are very typical of GT’s high-end aluminum frames from that era.”
Excitedly, I asked what the frame was worth and was delighted to be told…
  • Ask for $275–$350 if it’s straight and cosmetically average; use “Best Offer” to gauge interest. For a mint/rare finish try $450+. (These suggested asks reflect current eBay/market listings.)
What have I learned? AI takes its answers from the collective knowledge of the internet, I have learned that the internet doesn’t know what it’s talking about and overvalues old bike frames.

Of course, Chat GPT could be very clever and might be talking about the genuine Zaskar LE tucked away in the bottom right hand corner, but I doubt it.

Hmmmmm, so chat GPT is about as useful as a bunch of past it, old blokes that talk endlessly about shitty old bikes. The future if humanity is in safe hands.

Or perhaps you have proved that the Turing test needs to be replaced with the Zaskar test. Once ai can correctly identify a Zaskar it’s reached sentience.
 
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