garethrl
Senior Retro Guru
Out of the polar regions, it's rare that a single storm - and therefore an auroral display - lasts more than a single night. If you see it two nights running then it's typically separate events, which can happen but normally closer to solar maximum. So if you missed it the other night then you'll have to wait for the next one! Not that that should stop you heading out in night rides just-in-case, though ...
There's a also a distinction worth making between flares and CMEs. Whilst they're often observed 'together' - ie as part of the same solar eruptive event - not all CMEs are accompanied by flares. There's another class of solar eruptions called solar prominence eruptions, like this:
which generally don't have a flare to accompany them. A flare, OTOH, looks like this:
so you can easily tell the difference from the colour ...
Prominence-related events tend not to lead to the most intense geomagnetic storms (that's for the flares, a-la Carrington) but having said that they can happen at any time during the solar cycle, and the aurorae the other night were due to a prominence like this. This current period of the solar cycle is often often productive for prominence eruptions for a variety of reasons, so it may not be a long wait til the next one. Of course, it may be a very long time, these things are hard to predict ...
As you might intuitively think, these prominence events are typically slower than flare-related events (more mass directly involved, so harder to accelerate), which is why this one took four days to arrive rather than the 17 hours for the Carrington event.
Cheers, Gareth.
There's a also a distinction worth making between flares and CMEs. Whilst they're often observed 'together' - ie as part of the same solar eruptive event - not all CMEs are accompanied by flares. There's another class of solar eruptions called solar prominence eruptions, like this:

which generally don't have a flare to accompany them. A flare, OTOH, looks like this:

so you can easily tell the difference from the colour ...

Prominence-related events tend not to lead to the most intense geomagnetic storms (that's for the flares, a-la Carrington) but having said that they can happen at any time during the solar cycle, and the aurorae the other night were due to a prominence like this. This current period of the solar cycle is often often productive for prominence eruptions for a variety of reasons, so it may not be a long wait til the next one. Of course, it may be a very long time, these things are hard to predict ...
As you might intuitively think, these prominence events are typically slower than flare-related events (more mass directly involved, so harder to accelerate), which is why this one took four days to arrive rather than the 17 hours for the Carrington event.
Cheers, Gareth.