How slowly do you want to move? There have been autonomous cars in development for at least 20 years. Most new cars on the road are using collision avoidance systems derived from that development work. A huge amount of the hardware and software is already off the shelf/standard componentry, some of which that has been in use long enough to be known as "mature technology". The timelines we are looking at for different levels of Autonomy mean that pretty much everything we use will be off the shelf by the time the first full autonomous cars hit the road.
And AFAIK we aren't starting with rolling thunder, we started 8 or 10 years ago with lane departure warning, auto braking, Adaptive Cruise Control. Tying them all together is where autonomous driving is "new".
highlandsflyer":i6woyqlw said:
Not difficult or complicated though? You can automate vehicles all you want, but you won't convert our legal system to a 100% proscription based on some legislation outlined in anticipation.
On what basis do you correlate what you have in front of you with the actual testing of all this in a court? How about a class action suit when a bus of tourists is flattened by a series of automated trucks?
Legislation means very little.
The legislation states, very clearly, at what level of autonomy the responsibility moves from driver to manufacturer. That's why it's taking so long to get to full autonomy, the first car manufacturer that makes a mistake will likely go bankrupt, that's why Tesla probably spent more on legal advice than development when they did their self driving cars. They may have been better advised to fire a couple of lawyers and do the self driving properly. Its been bad enough that within the industry it's made a few manufacturers completely reassess what they are going to do. And the assumption that autonomous vehicles will drive just like people, but computerised, is your first mistake. The whole system is designed to not get you into that situation in the first place. So all these straw man arguments don't stand up to any scrutiny once you understand the logical process used to control the system. They will be the most ultra cautious, risk averse drivers on the road. And not only that, they'll know whats ahead, far far far ahead. Well out of sight. And they'll have eyes in the back of their heads too.
highlandsflyer":i6woyqlw said:
I think you are wrong about being able to find out where and when these tests will be operating. All testing will be notified, from the information we have.
No, it won't and it isn't. Once a development car is approved for use on the public highway, there is no further need for anyone to notify. There are already tests ongoing across europe. The only "special" cases will be when you get to actual driverless cars/trucks/convoys, with nobody in the drivers seat, no supervision. Which is another 10 years off. At least. Mainly as there are restrictions on what sorts of roads will support autonomous driving (mainly motorways and dual carriageways)
highlandsflyer":i6woyqlw said:
Eyes pointing in every direction and radar?
Mmmm. Like this smart bombs and such that every now and then total a hospital? Very reassuring.
No, absolutely nothing like smart missiles. Not in any way shape or form. Why on earth would you think that?
highlandsflyer":i6woyqlw said:
The reason they are testing in actual traffic is because no matter how clever some people think scenario modelling is, the only way they can really learn is by making MISTAKES.
Yes, thats why we do testing. But why does a mistake have to instantly result in a squashed bus? Most mistakes during testing will result in a quick puckering of the "drivers" ring piece and a month of testing and analysis to make sure it doesn't happen again.