If England win by any amount, they win the championship and take the Grand Slam (their first since 2003).
If England lose by LESS THAN 7 POINTS, they will still win the championship, but not the Grand Slam.
If Wales win by 8 points, Wales win the championship.
If Wales win by 7 points, and stay ahead in tries scored (currently 7-5 to Wales), Wales win the championship.
So, predictions for tomorrow then?
I think Wales will edge it. Obviously I'm biased, but here are the facts:
- Wales have had an extra day to train leading up to the match.
- Wales have been able to train in their own facility at the Vale Hotel.
- Wales have the home advantage.
- Wales are arguably more confident going in to the match, given the 3 points above and given the fact that they didn't have a shocker of a last match against Italy
Howley has pulled what I think is quite a clever move in that he's put Gethin Jenkins as Captain. This gives Warbs the chance to concentrate on training, without the added pressures of media committments. If Sam can get back to anything like his World Cup form tomorrow, then he will cause a lot of problems for the England team in the breakdown.
Neither Wales nor England can afford to give away penalties, given the fact that they have Halfpenny and Floody kicking for the respective teams. Concede a penalty within the kicker's range (which for Halfpenny is back past the halfway line!) and it's almost a 3-point certainty. This match could easily be won on kicks alone, which would be a shame IMO.
Will Wales win by 7 or 8 points? I'm not so sure... I still think that there's a very strong possibility that England will lift the trophy, just perhaps not the Grand Slam.
COME ON WALES - Quick ball, don't kick away possession and if you do, CHASE IT! RUN IT from your own 5 metre line, feed off the crowd (we'll never boo you unlike some!), believe in yourself. WE CAN DO THIS!
I absolutely cannot wait until tomorrow. Cardiff is the best place in the World on match day, and even better when Wales take on England with a sniff of winning the championship.
Best of luck to England - here's hoping that we have a brilliant match, regardless of the result
I'll be in The Old Arcade from 12 noon - if anyone else is in town for the game, pop in and say hello. I might even buy you a pint, even if you're in a White shirt!